Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.293399 3.964244 4.715048 5.614368 6.658867 7.830208 9.239513
2025-03-30 2.221138 3.035871 4.047890 5.384232 7.087652 9.170345 11.891275
2025-04-06 1.653534 2.521700 3.699652 5.385289 7.700582 10.729556 14.944442
2025-04-13 1.265090 2.129340 3.397485 5.343056 8.189972 12.129708 17.901550
2025-04-20 1.073791 1.967166 3.367929 5.644877 9.153047 14.231535 21.980621
2025-04-27 0.906473 1.798448 3.285883 5.834777 9.948219 16.145353 25.944269
2025-05-04 0.792183 1.690357 3.273726 6.117237 10.896144 18.348648 30.497403
2025-05-11 0.654330 1.505884 3.095213 6.088030 11.325726 19.776642 33.969783
2025-05-18 0.520109 1.295008 2.828637 5.858606 11.380232 20.594066 36.526610
2025-05-25 0.408234 1.101353 2.556515 5.571533 11.287590 21.141251 38.663305
2025-06-01 0.343214 0.994745 2.435703 5.547440 11.650815 22.467363 42.160821
2025-06-08 0.294308 0.913585 2.352367 5.581859 12.118255 23.999488 46.100413
2025-06-15 0.248203 0.828843 2.249595 5.569248 12.508432 25.451627 50.056188
2025-06-22 0.196099 0.712113 2.051048 5.323042 12.410731 26.009732 52.477867
2025-06-29 0.166015 0.649074 1.968087 5.317794 12.796452 27.490454 56.658518
2025-07-06 0.139196 0.587081 1.874917 5.273792 13.092835 28.818384 60.640210
2025-07-13 0.129735 0.579375 1.923045 5.571395 14.150061 31.698213 67.704880
2025-07-20 0.117184 0.556862 1.926328 5.758847 14.981420 34.185577 74.166734
2025-07-27 0.108845 0.547204 1.964263 6.038012 16.043226 37.205091 81.824718
2025-08-03 0.092748 0.501529 1.887310 6.009094 16.395283 38.795809 86.778425
2025-08-10 0.074496 0.438926 1.744463 5.782245 16.257756 39.354030 89.711266
2025-08-17 0.058433 0.377702 1.590531 5.498426 15.948495 39.517412 91.846245
2025-08-24 0.049792 0.347195 1.531633 5.474606 16.273298 41.065383 96.894224